How many more years of Ahmadi Nejad do you think people can tolerate? The more we go, the more radical Iranian regime seems to become. How long more do you see it continuing this path?
I use the Soviet Union as the standard for the longevitiy of totalitarian regimes. It lasted a little over 70 years starting in 1918. The Islamic Revolution in Iran began in 1979 so it has about 40 years left.
You could be quite correct, however, the issue of population differences fits into any hypothetical equation I might craft. IRAN currently comes in at about 75 Million. RUSSIA (almost) currently comes in at about 142,946,800 as of a 2010 Census. So Iran has approximately half of Russia's population. Can this have any bearing on your estimates?
I think population has less to do with it than time. It seems to take about three generations for people to get so sick of totalitarianism they get the courage to revolt and for it to prove that it cannot deliver anything other than poverty, elitism, and suppression.
well seeing as how the Supreme leader has been hinting about abolishing the presidency altogether, maybe not too many more years.